Archive for the ‘Real Estate’ category

Gary Carr and Ted Chudleigh draw a line in the sand for Smitherman

October 28th, 2008

Mike Cluett
Mike Cluett’s Milton Blog

Halton Regional Chair, Gary Carr

Halton Regional Chair, Gary Carr is putting pressure on the Provincial Government to freeze development in Halton.

Flipping through the Milton Canadian Champion and the Toronto Star I noticed one issue that did stand out. Gary Carr, the Regional Chair for Halton, along with Ted Chudleigh MPP for Halton have expressed concerns about the amount of development in our area compared to improvements to infrastructure. One of the areas of concerns is the hospital. Milton for example is growing closer and closer to 80,000 residents while not one major improvement has been made to our hospital. That hospital was designed for a town of 35,000 residents and as the years go by, Milton will approach 100,000 and no plans in sight to expand or improve the hospital.

The hospital has made some improvements. With the help and generosity of the public and other individuals and companies, Milton Hospital now has the CT scanner that was so badly needed. Now Milton Hospital needs more than that to adapt to the changes in the region. With Mattamy Homes pumping out new homes by the day and hundreds of moving trucks bringing the belongings of many happy families, excited with the opportunity to share with us, the beauty and the wonderful community we call home, something has to be done with our hospital.

For months Ted Chudliegh has been fighting with the Provincial Government to get this problem noticed by Premier Dalton McGuinty but so far nothing has happened. Everything seemed to have fallen on deaf ears.

What do our local leaders need to do to fix the problem? To date we’ve really heard nothing from Town Council. I know its not their area of responsibility but they do speak for the people. Our municipal leaders are on the the closest to the residents. Many times you can pick up the phone and give them a call to let them know how you feel. Some chose to respond quickly and others chose not to. I know that after talking with many of you during the last municipal election and afterwards, the hospital is a vitally important issue for many of you. As the town and the region grows, so should its infrastructure.

The only problem is our municipal leaders dont seem to have a vision for the future. There doesn’t seem to be a five, ten or twenty year plan on the horizon. Maybe at best a one year plan, and then a plan for re-election. In Milton, we see daily the result of decisions that were made in the past with no foresight as evidenced in their decision to close off 4th Line before they opened up James Snow Parkway a few years back.

They should have realized by now that is a growing problem that wont go away. This is what our leaders at all levels; from the member of parliament for Halton, to Ted Chudleigh, to Milton Town Council and to the Region of Halton; should be talking about endlessly to the provincial government…

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Halton ready to freeze development

October 28th, 2008

From the Toronto Star

Region needs cash from Queen’s Park, developers to pay for infrastructure

A proposed development freeze could spell the end of construction sites like the one in Oakville.

A proposed development freeze could spell the end of construction sites like this one in North Oakville.

Memo from Halton Region:

Show us the money.

Otherwise, we won’t connect our pipes to the toilet or kitchen sink in the brand new home you have planned for the suburbs.

Region chair Gary Carr would like to send that ultimatum to Queen’s Park and developers in a showdown over funding for hospitals and other infrastructure that could bring final approvals for 40,000 new homes in Milton and north Oakville to a grinding halt.

“Growth is not paying for itself, and we’re saying to the province: Until it does, we are not going to continue to grow. It’s as simple as I can put it,” Carr said, following a meeting of the region’s health and social services committee. He repeated that blunt message three times yesterday.

A motion to impose what amounts to a freeze on any new development not yet approved comes before the committee in November, and after that goes to a full council debate. It follows distribution of a confidential staff report.

Halton politicians say they have little choice but to play hardball with the one weapon they have – a loophole in the Official Plan that allows them to refuse sewer and water pipe connections to new developments until financing arrangements are acceptable.

The proposal signals the fast-growing region’s frustration over a rising infrastructure deficit, and the unanswered question of who will pay the bills.

The tipping point seems to be the increasing sums the region is being told to pay for badly needed new and renovated hospitals, which councillors say will place an unacceptable drain on municipal budgets. Those new homes would bring an extra 120,000 residents to an already overloaded hospital system over the next 13 years.

The current showdown dates back to the downloading of costs during the years of the Mike Harris Conservatives, the full impact of which is only being felt now.

Fees have traditionally been paid by developers to support the cost of new communities, for example for roads, water pipes and sewer lines – and hospitals.

The developers got a break from the Harris government on paying for hospitals, something Premier Dalton McGuinty has so far shown no signs of reversing.

With two new hospitals needed and two expansions planned for existing hospitals across the region – which includes Oakville, Burlington, Milton and Georgetown – the region’s share of the bill for capital and equipment costs could be as much as one-third.

That’s equivalent to $300 million or more – triple the region’s annual police budget, Carr said.

On hold are projects involving Oakville-Trafalgar Hospital and Joseph Brant Hospital in Burlington, which CEO David Scott said yesterday was at a crisis point.

Scott outlined plans that would scale the Brant project from a $300 million expansion to $180 million, including $60 million to be paid by local residents and the region.

“I don’t know how the community share (which includes the region) will be funded,” Carr said. “We are adding this whole new cost. I don’t know how the taxpayer can fund this.”

Stephen Dupuis, CEO of BILD, a group of Greater Toronto Area developers, called the situation in Halton “frustrating” but “also a bit of a leverage game.”

“What is a developer to do?” Dupuis said, adding that Halton’s development charges – between $41,000 and $44,000 per home – are among the highest in the GTA.

“The province has to assert itself, otherwise the growth plan is not worth the paper it is written on,” Dupuis said.

The province’s 2006 Places to Grow strategy would see Halton grow by 300,000 residents over the next 25 years.

Late last night, a spokesperson for infrastructure minister George Smitherman confirmed the minister would meet Carr to discuss the issue, but said Halton had received its fair share of infrastructure funding totalling almost $1 billion.

“The Regional Chair is grandstanding all because the start of a new (Oakville) hospital has been briefly delayed due to shortages of skilled labour,” the aide quoted Smitherman as saying without directly addressing Carr’s charge that municipalities were being short-changed by having to pick up the costs of hospital funding.

“As the province is building a lot of hospitals right now there is a risk that prices escalate due to a lack of companies bidding for the work.

“Ontario is spending more this year on infrastructure than at any time in history, including when Mr. Carr was part of the Harris government, and Halton is receiving a very big share.”

Carr said he will meet with Smitherman, at which time his message will be: “We are not prepared to proceed with new development in Halton Region unless you come forward with your share of the funding for things like hospitals.”

Similar issues have been playing out in Brampton (which has balked at putting its share of the cost of a recently opened hospital on the property tax bill) and in Vaughan, where York Region has simply decided to do exactly that to get a hospital the city badly needs.

“We need from the province a financial commitment for (infrastructure) for at least the next 10 years,” said Milton Councillor Colin Best.

Infrastructure battles have raged for several years across the GTA, expressed in Mississauga Mayor Hazel McCallion’s Cities Now! campaign and Toronto Mayor David Miller’s ongoing One Cent Now campaign to get one cent of the GST devoted to cities.

Halton’s proposal is different because it comes with the apparent willingness of politicians to consider using their regulatory clout to get what they want. It’s something that’s been talked about in other regions but never acted upon.

A clause in an Official Plan agreement between developers, the province and the region states the region will not proceed with new allocations of water and waste water systems until such time as there is a financial plan acceptable to council.

No agreement, no approvals for toilets and drinking water. No new homes.

Treasurer Jane MacCaskill told the Star yesterday that, with an almost $2.3 billion infrastructure burden already imposed on the region by the provincial growth plan, Halton cannot handle any more.

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Gilgan’s Island

May 19th, 2008

Mattamy Homes factory in Milton

A factory to make houses? That’s the biggest thing that distinguishes Mattamy Homes. But it’s not the most important one — that would be Peter Gilgan, who found that accountancy just wasn’t detailed enough

From a country road in Milton, 50 kilometres west of downtown Toronto, the newest phase of Hawthorne Village looks like a typical subdivision. It has the sort of ye-olde name that suburban builders favour, but, of course, it looks nothing like a bucolic English town. It’s big houses, built close together on winding streets.

But look closer and you find something odd: There are no half-built homes, no wood-frame skeletons. You see either foundations or nearly finished houses that just need some bricks and a front porch. They appear to have sprouted overnight.

Which, in a way, they did.

On the western edge of the development looms a huge industrial building bearing the name Stelumar Advanced Manufacturing. They’re building houses in there–on an assembly line.
The Globe and Mail

Ten houses, in successively more complete states, sit in a row on a track of fat, broadly spaced steel rails that run the length of the plant. The assembly line moves once a day, spitting out a finished house through a large doorway onto a low, wide specialized truck. This happens at 4 a.m.–the best time to drive a house. After a journey of a kilometre or less, the new residence is placed on a foundation using hydraulic jacks.

On a bitterly cold day in February, one advantage of indoor home building is immediately clear: “Even if there’s a blizzard out there, we can stay on schedule,” says Stelumar president Ron Cauchi. Prefab insulated wall panels, windows and other components are stored inside, right beside the line. But they don’t take up much room, because Cauchi, formerly an executive in auto-parts manufacturing, needs only a two-day supply, relying on just-in-time delivery. “Like the auto industry, the real artistry is in the logistics,” Cauchi says.

This plant wasn’t Cauchi’s idea, however. Nor was it the brainchild of the stereotypical successful Canadian home builder–a skilled immigrant tradesman who grew the family business. As Cauchi says with a smile, “a lot of things in here were designed by an accountant.”

That accountant is Peter Gilgan, the founder, owner and CEO of Mattamy Homes Ltd., of which Stelumar is a subsidiary. Over the past three decades, Gilgan has grown Mattamy from a one-man operation to Canada’s largest home builder. He’s completed almost 100 developments, mostly around Toronto, and now has more than 1,000 permanent employees. The company, being private, does not release financial information. But if you multiply the more than 4,000 houses Mattamy sold last year by an average price of just over $200,000 (a low estimate), you get annual revenues of close to $1 billion.

Despite ominous signs that a U.S.-style housing slump could spread to Canada, Gilgan is, as always, in expansion mode. He has sunk tens of millions of dollars into Stelumar, which produced its first house last August. The goal is to build 250 the first year, and crank that up to 2,000 a year in several factories by 2015. “I’m in love with the idea,” Gilgan says. He’s also spreading out geographically: Mattamy has been building in Ottawa for the past two years, and is gearing up in Alberta and the U.S.

All this might sound impulsive; Gilgan is anything but. Chatting in his spotless corner office in a generic glass-and-steel office building in Oakville, west of Toronto, you quickly realize that this is a very smart guy who’s systematized almost every aspect of his business. Ask about his most successful innovation–widening and shortening lots to keep land costs down, yet making room for a wider house with more “curb appeal”–and Gilgan says, “It was a gut premise, vectored by a lot of focus groups.”

He may have a good business model. But is it wise for Gilgan to be aggressive right now? The man has been known to make mistakes. But every mistake only seems to make him stronger.

uilding isn’t in Gilgan’s blood, but suburbs are. His father was an electrical technician with the Canadian Standards Association, and his mom stayed home and raised seven kids in the west-end Toronto suburb of Etobicoke.

After high school, he went straight into a chartered accountant program, and then articled with a small Toronto firm. He enjoyed visiting audit clients because it gave him an inside look at dozens of entrepreneurial businesses–convenience stores, independent movie theatres, department stores and the like. He was particularly drawn to home builders–”the old craftsman-builder guys,” as he puts it.

In late 1978, Gilgan took the plunge himself. He bought two lots on opposite corners in the wealthy suburb of Burlington, between Oakville and Hamilton. He spent the fall and winter building two large, elegant three-bedroom houses–or supervising and helping, at least. “I had no ’skill,’” he says with a smile, “but I made a terrific labourer.”

He also displayed an ability to absorb every detail of a project. He remembers the square footage of the houses–2,800–and the names of the people who bought them. “One couple, the McTavishes, lived there for 25 years,” he says. “They became my travel agents.”

Indeed, colleagues say that Gilgan can still zero in on a flaw, whether on-site or on a spreadsheet, within minutes, if not seconds. Brian McEnaney, a vice-president of construction at Mattamy, recalls Gilgan touring a subdivision under construction a few years ago. “We walked into the first house and went upstairs and he said, right away, that the walk-in closet wasn’t deep enough to hang clothes in without the door interfering with the hangers,” recalls McEnaney. “You have to realize that there was no door yet, no hangers, or even a hanger rod.”

After completing those first two houses in 1979, Gilgan found he’d made about 10% on his investment. So he kept going. He’d buy two or three lots at a time and custom-build homes on them, often spending 40 hours or more with a client before closing a sale. He also admits he got a little cocky. “I was a 29-year-old expert,” he says.
The Globe and Mail

The expert got slammed by his first real estate downturn in 1981, when rampant inflation pushed mortgage interest rates up to almost 20%. “By 1982, I was out of work,” says Gilgan. But he bounced back quickly, as he has several times since.

The custom homes he had been building were priced close to a then-hefty $300,000. But the top end of the market can be thin and fickle. So he went down-market, starting a small subdivision farther north in Burlington, with tract homes priced at around $60,000. Here he hit on one of the cornerstones of Mattamy’s subsequent success: “What if I tried to combine elements of the two?” In other words, build larger developments of lower-cost homes, “but make them more appealing to the eye than typical tract housing.”

Soon the real estate market started to recover as well, as interest rates headed back down. A 42-house development Gilgan built in 1983 on the Credit River in Mississauga, priced from $169,000 to $199,000, sold with lightning speed. “There is an element of timing in this business,” he says.

By the late 1980s, Mattamy had grown to include hundreds of employees, and had surpassed other key growth thresholds, such as the capacity to build more than one subdivision at once. Some of the projects were quite prestigious, like Glen Abbey, next to the Oakville golf course of that name, then the home of the Canadian Open. The detail man admits that he got a little cocky again. For one thing, although Gilgan put colleagues in charge of specific subdivisions, and atop company-wide functions such as administration, design, construction and customer care, he kept overly close tabs on all of them. “It was meeting after meeting,” he recalls. Nowadays, he says he tries a lot harder “to play editor, rather than author.”

Also, because Mattamy was doubling in size every couple of years or so, he was buying as much raw, undeveloped land as he could, still mostly west of Toronto, in Mississauga, Oakville and Burlington. “Fifty, 100 acres–whatever I could afford,” says Gilgan. But then, in the early 1990s, the housing market skidded into another recession. “I’ve still got a couple of pieces of land I bought in the ’80s,” he says with a chuckle. Lesson learned: “Know why you’re buying it.”

That downturn didn’t stop the relentless growth in population in the Toronto area, however, nor did it make land in and around the city cheap. Yet Gilgan figured there had to be a better way of coping with high land costs than what other suburban builders were doing at the time–narrowing lots and houses to fit more on a street, and moving the de rigueur double garages from the side of the houses to the front. Look down the streets of many 1980s and 1990s subdivisions, he says, “and all you see is a row of garage doors.”

Then, on a visit to the Los Angeles suburb of Orange County, Gilgan says, “I got religion.”

sable land in the hilly near-desert in and around Los Angeles is very pricey, but, instead of narrow lots, Gilgan saw that builders there had gone wide and short. “I didn’t Xerox the concept,” he says. “I was inspired by it.”

Back in the Toronto area, many new lots were still as deep as those of the 1960s and ’70s–say, 100 feet–but maybe half as wide–30 feet, or even less. If Gilgan could cut the length to 75 feet or so, he could increase the width to around 45 feet. That would create room for design features that he knew would appeal to buyers (because he’d focus-grouped them), such as a garage integrated into the side of the house, or a big old-fashioned front porch with a white picket railing.

Inside, a wider house needed shorter hallways, if it needed them at all: a saving of more space. Then and since, Gilgan has also pioneered or adopted dozens of other popular new-home elements, such as a family room right next to the kitchen, with an island between them to gather around (“ground zero,” as he calls it); a fireplace tucked into the wall (rather than thrust into the room); and a smaller laundry room on the second floor instead of on the main level (so you don’t have to carry laundry up and down stairs).
The Globe and Mail

Of course, reconfigured lot sizes required local land planning authorities to make some major changes to standard suburban layouts. In addition to wider lots, Gilgan also wanted to narrow streets and move houses closer to them–thereby preserving big backyards–and have a sidewalk on just one side, right against the curb.

Burlington, where Mattamy had become a major economic force, let him do it. The Orchard, a subdivision that Gilgan launched with 400 houses in 1996, was the first “full-on commitment,” as he puts it, to the new concept. “It just nailed people,” he says. His timing was also fortunate. The real estate market was shifting into a decade-long upswing.

Mattamy was back on the fast-growth track, and it was making Gilgan a very wealthy man. One sign of the success was his own house, the opposite of affordable tract housing (see “An exclusive listing,” page 79).

Raise the subject, however, and Gilgan’s immediate recall of just about any kind of detail vaporizes, and he gets awkward and embarrassed. He explains that he and his wife, Jennifer, the mother of their six boys and two girls (now aged 16 to 31), split up three years ago. The house got sold. Get the picture?

Part of that awkwardness may just be shyness. It’s only later, after the interview is over, while chit-chatting about cycling, that Gilgan mentions that he and eight friends rode from Vancouver to Toronto in nine days last summer and, oh yeah, they raised half a million dollars for the Hospital for Sick Children in Toronto. Seanna Dempsey, senior development officer with the SickKids Foundation, says that’s pretty much the manner in which Gilgan approached the hospital as well. “We were flabbergasted,” she says. “I’m amazed at how low-key he is.” The long-distance ride is now an annual event: the Mattamy Tour de Blue. (“Blue” because that’s the corporate colour. Mattamy, by the way, is named for Gilgan’s oldest children, Matt and Amy; Stelumar is a nod to their siblings Stephanie, Luke and Markus.)

Gilgan is higher profile under his own name in Oakville, the local YMCA being the biggest beneficiary. In 2006, he personally donated $1 million to the Y, capping a nine-year fundraising drive that he led. The campaign raised a total of $6 million for the Y’s 50th anniversary, and the renovated and expanded main local branch was renamed the Peter Gilgan Family Y. Mattamy also sponsors the home-building certificate program at George Brown College in Toronto.

So, is manufacturing of complete homes the innovation that will move Gilgan up into even bigger leagues? Make him into a nationwide force, and maybe even a continental one? You have to visit the factory. Even after you do, the answer may be more complicated than you think.

On a continent where the weather is often too hot, too cold or just too darn inhospitable for construction for most of the year, you wonder why no one besides Mattamy is assembling entire houses in the great indoors.

Touring the Stelumar factory in Milton with Ron Cauchi, it’s easy to play a game of Spot the Efficiency. The plant employs more than 100 workers split into two nine-hour shifts a day–rain, snow or shine. Just having everyone in one building helps. Labourers and tradespeople don’t have to shuttle between job sites, and they have regular shifts. Compared with conventional home building, the indoor set-up requires fewer pricey tradespeople such as electricians and plumbers, who can more easily supervise the lower-cost workers installing wiring, pipes and the like. With operations in one place, the quality of all aspects of the houses should also be more consistent.

Always on the lookout for improvements, Gilgan got the assembly-line idea in 1997, after touring a Saturn car plant in Tennessee with a group of U.S. home builders. General Motors established Saturn as an innovative, stand-alone subsidiary, and the builders were interested in how the plant dealt with manufacturing quality and employee relations. But Gilgan was impressed by the sheer efficiency of the operation–it kept parts in the plant for less than eight hours before using them. “When you’re looking for something, something else often comes out of it,” he says. Pilot projects began in a plant in nearby Cambridge. From 2004 to 2006, the plant assembled more than 600 houses with mostly complete exteriors, but not finished inside.

In addition to quality control, another goal of the factory is to meet every buyer’s target move-in dates–or at least get closer to them. That’s crucial to customer satisfaction, especially in the still-frenzied housing market in Toronto and many other cities. It takes about 16 to 20 weeks to build a house conventionally outdoors, and because of the huge backlog of orders that many builders have, the wait between signing a sales contract and moving in is typically much longer.
The Globe and Mail

Danny Ong, 30, and Madelyn Sesuca, 40, bought a four-bedroom home in Hawthorne Village in October, 2006, but they didn’t move in until this past January, long after their original move-in date. Yet they consider themselves lucky. Back in 2006, they waited in their car outside the Mattamy sales pavilion all night to be among the first to get a crack at a new release of lots the next morning. “It was so windy, so cold,” says Sesuca, “but the parking lot was full, and there were cars lined up on the street.”

The couple work as ticket agents at Toronto’s Pearson Airport. They were renting in the suburb of Mississauga before they moved, and the extra 2 1/2 months allowed them to save more money. But Sesuca says she’d “heard a lot of horror stories about other builders from co-workers.” Like the family who sold their previous house, then lived in a basement apartment for six months because of construction delays. When they finally moved in, their new home was riddled with problems, such as the absence of doors on the bathrooms.

Given competition like that, it’s no wonder Mattamy earned the No. 1 ranking for the Toronto area in consulting firm J.D. Power and Associates’ annual customer satisfaction survey of Canadian home builders for 2006 and ‘07. If the proportion of Mattamy’s factory-built homes climbs to 50% by 2015 as planned, it should be easier to stay on top.

There’s a big fly in the ointment, however: the bottom line. Factory assembly still isn’t any cheaper than building on-site. “It’s more about a controlled environment than cutting costs,” Cauchi admits.

ven before Mattamy started shipping houses from the factory, the most common complaint from buyers was that the company built by the detail man could be far too controlling. Gilgan has systematized much more than the construction process, and even some buyers who are happy with their homes think he’s gone overboard.

Gilgan likes to say that Mattamy builds neighbourhoods, not just houses. Accordingly, buyers go through several meet-and-greet sessions called Mattamy University, which explain how their home and subdivision were built, and introduce neighbours to one another.

Like most builders, Mattamy has several basic home models in its developments, but it offers a lot more variations of the basic design and the finishings of each of those models–everything from nine-foot ceilings to fancier baseboards. That can result in dozens of choices. Ong and Sesuca bought a 1,822-square-foot, two-storey model called the Mayberry II. The base price was $311,000, and the couple added $28,000 worth of upgrades, including a maple staircase, pot lights and a Jacuzzi. They anted up another $6,000 for a fourth bedroom, and $5,000 more for a premium lot in a quiet location. Total: $350,000.

The company operates design centres, where customers choose every interior design element–carpeting, cabinets, moulding, paint and so on. But suppose you want something else? Mattamy won’t, for example, let you buy your own ceramic tile or kitchen countertop somewhere else and then install it for you. You have to do that later yourself. Also, any change to the standard plan of a house costs money.

Some buyers feel as if they’ve been nickel-and-dimed. Peter Xavier, 43, a Toronto graphic designer who bought a Mattamy home in Mississauga with his wife, Rosie, in 2001, says it became absurd in some cases. He thought a landing on his stairway to the second floor would be too narrow, so he asked that a closet not be built there. That cost him $100. He didn’t want a wall that jutted between the kitchen and the family room. That change cost $900. “It seems like every time you turn around, they charge you,” he says with a chuckle.

Gilgan and Cauchi say the rationale is simple: There has to be some standardization to keep costs and base home prices down. As for charging for every change and extra, it’s fairer for everyone if buyers pay for the elements they choose.
The Globe and Mail

Indeed, many buyers, like Ong and Sesuca, say the trade-offs are worth it. Ong says the $311,000 base price for their home was far lower than Mattamy’s competitors were charging for similar models. Yes, some of those competitors include more finishings–or fancier ones–in the base price, but Ong still figures he got a good deal. The couple could have “paid $400,000, easy” for a similar home from a competing builder, he says. And he checked out prices of every item–for example, Mattamy charged $800 for a microwave hood fan, installed, versus $750 for a similar model at Sears that he would have had to install himself.

There’s also an overall look and feel to each of Mattamy’s subdivisions, in keeping with the theme for each one. Again, a lot of that is Gilgan. He loves features like big windows, wide front porches with white picket railings, and the idea of neighbours chatting with one another across narrow streets. But some customers, such as Xavier, find it all a bit corny. “We lived in Churchill Meadows,” he says. “There were no meadows to be found anywhere.”

Look around Hawthorne Village or other recent Mattamy subdivisions, and you’ll also see other more fundamental challenges. With land prices around Toronto and other cities still high, builders are doing everything they can to make more efficient use of it. So, many of Mattamy’s lots aren’t all that wide any more–Madelyn Sesuca and Danny Ong’s is just 36 feet wide, with about six feet of space between their house and the neighbours’.

Still, many environmentalists and other critics complain that single-family home builders such as Mattamy are swallowing up too much land and propelling sprawl. But Richard Harris, associate director of the school of geography and earth sciences at Hamilton’s McMaster University, says that “sprawl” can be a misnomer. “By and large, houses have gotten bigger, but lots have gotten smaller” over the past couple of decades, he says. A lot of new developments, including many of Mattamy’s, have “reasonable densities,” he says.

Gilgan shrugs and smiles. Ultimately, he has to respond to consumer demand. “I remember a lot of people in the 1980s saying that houses would get smaller,” he says. “But that just didn’t happen.”

In the 1990s, so-called new urbanism caused a stir in Toronto and other North American cities. That’s when Mattamy built part of a large development in Markham, north of Toronto, called Cornell Village. It has mostly townhouses, semi-detached or detached houses with garages in the rear, much like denser, century-old inner-city neighbourhoods. There are also more businesses and shops within walking distance than in other suburbs. But the concept hasn’t taken off, and it’s easy to understand why: The development is surrounded by a major city, and not every resident is going to live, work and shop entirely within the confines of the village.

Despite efforts to locate schools and some stores within walking distance in Hawthorne Village and other Mattamy neighbourhoods, you pretty well have to have a car to live in them. Here again, though, many experts say it’s hard to blame the home builder. It’s also the result of local and regional planning decisions. Larry Bourne, a professor of geography and planning at the University of Toronto, says he finds it absurd that Toronto and other cities don’t plan and build public transport systems before or along with new neighbourhoods.

From Hawthorne Village, there is no rapid-transit access to Toronto’s airport (so Ong and Sesuca drive 35 kilometres east to their jobs) or to other large employers in the area, such as the massive Royal Bank office complex just off Highway 401 in Mississauga. “It’s astonishing,” says Bourne. “The GO system [the Toronto-area commuter rail network] misses virtually every major destination.”

More immediately, Gilgan has to be at least concerned about the possibility that the U.S. housing debacle will spread to Canada. He’s certainly better positioned to handle a downturn than he was in the early 1980s and early ’90s. For one thing, he’s far more geographically diversified. He’s built more than 1,000 houses in Ottawa over the past two years, and he’s buying land in Calgary and Edmonton. In the U.S., Mattamy has already started building in Minneapolis, Charlotte, Phoenix and parts of Florida.
The Globe and Mail

So why doesn’t Gilgan take Mattamy public? It’s hard to imagine such an incontrol personality working for shareholders. He argues that being private can also help in winning the confidence of lenders. “If your skin is in the game, their skin is in the game,” he says.

Longer term, there are also demographic shifts to contend with. Phil Soper, CEO of Brookfield Asset Management Inc.’s Royal LePage residential real estate division, says that one of the most profound changes is the rise of single-women buyers. According to a Royal LePage survey, 37% of Canadian women who have never been married now own their own homes, up from 30% just a year ago. Other sources report there are also more three-generation families living under one roof.

Again, the experts aren’t saying anything that Gilgan doesn’t already know, and he’s started experimenting. In its High Park development in Mississauga, Mattamy introduced so-called Urban Walk-Ups–three-storey buildings with a home on each level. Within conventional detached houses, Gilgan is thinking that two master bedrooms will become more common–for three-generation families. “We have to provide affordable choices for people,” he says.

Some things are certain: Suburbs around Toronto and other cities will keep expanding, and Gilgan is going to keep building them, either in a factory or the old-fashioned way. No one in Canada is doing it any better.

An exclusive listing:

Mattamy Manor

Just how wealthy Mattamy Homes had made Peter Gilgan didn’t become clear until May, 2006, when his own family home in Oakville was put up for sale for $45 million, the highest asking price ever in Canada.

Edgemere Estate, as it’s named, has a very wide lot indeed: 1,000 feet of frontage on Lake Ontario–room for a baseball diamond, swimming pool, parking for 10 cars, a gazebo and a two-storey guest cottage. Inside the main house, there are nine bedrooms, 17 bathrooms, a spa and a 20-seat movie theatre. The home eventually sold last November for a nominal registered price of $2–an arrangement principals can make if they pay the land transfer tax on the real value.

Milton and Oshawa best bets for bargains

April 20th, 2008

Milton Ontario housing

Homes close to transit also good investments, real estate experts say

Whether it’s a condo in the city or a detached home in the suburbs, homebuyers looking for the best bargains should turn their sights to the east and west, industry experts advise.

David and Gilma Simon recently sold a home in Port Hope and moved to Oshawa, which offers the least expensive homes in the GTA.

The average sales price in Oshawa last month was $221,464 – significantly lower than the average GTA price of $394,000 or the Toronto average of $432,000, according to figures from the Toronto Real Estate Board.

The Simon family only has one car and, between David’s trips to work at the Darlington nuclear plant and shuttling Gilma to classes at Durham Continuing Education three times a week, all that driving was getting costly. The couple also felt that job prospects might be better in the GTA for Gilma, who emigrated from Panama.

The couple looked in Ajax and Whitby, where all they could find in their price range were townhouses. In Oshawa, they could get a detached home for the same money.

“We wanted an old-growth neighbourhood with mature trees and a street that wasn’t too active for traffic, as well as access to amenities such as shopping and nature,” David explains. “Transit was another consideration. And Oshawa feels like it has its own identity and sense of community, instead of being just a bedroom community.”

The 1980, three-bedroom backsplit they purchased for $241,000 meets all those criteria: it’s close to three parks, a walking trail, a wealth of stores, a bus stop and good schools for Gilma’s 13-year-old son.

Although it does have the cheapest real estate, Oshawa also has the dubious honour of the highest property taxes in the GTA.

For example, for a home valued at $275,000, a homeowner will pay $4,157 in taxes this year. That’s mainly due to the city’s heavy investment in replacing aging infrastructure.

But Maureen O’Neill, president of the Toronto Real Estate Board, feels Oshawa is an area that is “really going to go, ” noting GO train service offers convenient commuting for downtown workers.

Bowmanville, just east of Oshawa, also offers good value, with an average price of $238,000.

On the other side of the GTA, Milton continues to boom as the fastest-growing community in Canada, according to Statistics Canada.

“It’s popular, not just because of affordability but it’s close to the country. People who buy there like land,” says O’Neill. The average house price there is about $347,000.

However, O’Neill suggests anyone considering a home in suburban areas should test their commute to work for five days before making a decision.

“Burlington’s not bad if you work downtown,” she says. The average price there is $323,000 and sales last month were up 18 per cent over March 2007. “You get a lot of house and good value and you have a GO station. Anywhere near the GO, like Clarkson and Port Credit, is a good bet, too.”

O’Neill is also optimistic about Mimico’s prospects: “It’s going to go and it’s by the lake. The houses are older and you can buy one for about $400,000.”

In the city itself, O’Neill says neighbourhoods such as Corktown, Parkdale and Roncesvalles have become very popular, “when you couldn’t give a house away there three or four years ago.” Areas such as the Beach and Riverdale continue to be hot, although prices there are steep.

For condo buyers, O’Neill says the Bloor Street corridor continues to be popular, as well as Queen and King Streets.

The lakeshore and Harbourfront are also showing “tremendous stats,” she says, as well as the St. Lawrence Market area. But downtown, it’s tough to find anything for less than $350 per square foot, and that would be for low-end, small units.

She says good condo buys can often be found along the city’s border with the 905 regions.

There are also many good condo projects in the downtown west market, according to Jane Renwick, editor and executive vice-president of Urbanation, a research firm that publishes a quarterly report tracking the GTA condo market.

She says first-time buyers might consider looking to Liberty Village, a former industrial area under revitalization, where there’s a mix of new construction and conversion projects.

“It’s perfect for first-time buyers, retail is picking up there and it’s an area with character that has an urban feel,” she says. To the east of downtown, several new projects are underway in Corktown, the Distillery District and Queen St. E.

“The thing about staying a little bit east or west of the downtown is the pricing is a little less,” she says. Just east of downtown, expect to pay about $436 per square foot for a new condo and $491 in downtown west, compared to $674 in the downtown core. (Based on figures from the end of 2007).

If money is no object, suites in the Bloor/Yorkville area are commanding $1,282 per square foot.

For investors, Renwick says the best bets are the downtown core or the North York city centre. “There are a lot of rentals in North York and it’s close to the transportation hub,” she explains.

Scarborough had few new launches in 2007, though it is “a great option from an affordability standpoint,” says Renwick, with new suites selling for an average of $332 per square foot.

Mississauga was also quiet in 2007, with only two new launches, but look for a flurry of activity this year, says Renwick.

Other hot condo markets will be the upscale neighbourhoods of Rosedale, Forest Hill and Summerhill, as empty nesters looking for less maintenance than their detached homes look for alternatives to stay in the area.

What you get for $380,000 in …

MILTON

Three-bedroom, 2- 1/2-bath, two-storey detached brick home with 9-foot ceilings, hardwood floors and 1,990 sq. ft. On a 36- by 80-foot lot directly across from a park.

MARKHAM

Five bedroom, three-level 2,500-square-foot brick and stucco semi-detached home in Cornell. Cathedral foyer, 9-foot ceilings, upgraded cabinetry, single-car garage.

DOWNTOWN

One bedroom plus den condo in the Waterclub, with a solarium, two baths and a walkout to a terrace. One parking spot included. Maintenance fees: $447/month.

OSHAWA

Three-bedroom, two-bath brick bungalow, with crown mouldings, hardwood flooring, double-car garage, formal dining room and interlocking patio on a 50- by 112-foot lot.

– by Tracy Hanes of the Toronto Star

WLU coming to Milton?

April 1st, 2008

The following post is by Mike Cluett. Please visit Mike Cluett’s Milton blog

I was able to take sometime tonight to attend a Milton Town Council meeting and as the old saying goes…

Breaking news!!!!

Milton CAO Mario Belvedere is making a presentation to council about the proposed education village in Milton. During his report he made official that Wilfred Laurier University has entered into a memorandum of uderstanding to work on bringing a campus to Milton.

The proposed site would be on Tremaine Road south of Derry Road and north of Brittania on the west side.

There’s still a lof of work to be done to get this rolling more but its the first step to bringing a university to our town…

To continue reading this column, go to Mike Cluett’s Milton Blog.

A look at property taxes around the GTA

April 1st, 2008

Milton property taxes are comparitively low in the GTA

How much tax on a $380,000 house in the GTA? Location plays big part in your tax bill…

Homeowners who live in the aging industrial city of Oshawa pay the highest property taxes in the GTA, while those who live in Toronto and Milton – the country’s fastest-growing community – pay among the lowest municipal taxes, a Toronto Star survey has found.

As Toronto City Council begins final debate today on a budget that includes a proposed 3.75 per cent tax hike, we’re taking a comparative look at tax rates and what drives them in the 25 municipalities that make up Greater Toronto.

The large disparity in property tax rates across the GTA is an indication of the very different challenges faced by the 25 municipalities that make up the most densely populated region of Canada.

The survey showed, among other things:

Oshawa’s high taxes are a testament to the unique difficulties faced by a city best known for General Motors as it grapples with a confluence of aging infrastructure, low property values and increased capital costs.

Homeowners in Durham Region municipalities such as Ajax, Pickering, Whitby, Oshawa and Clarington continue to pay significantly higher taxes than those in Peel, York and Halton – regions that also seem better positioned to draw business and commercial taxes.

Toronto manages to have it both ways, charging both the GTA’s highest industrial-commercial taxes and the region’s lowest residential property taxes.

Many rural municipalities, such as Uxbridge, Scugog and Georgina, struggle with high taxes while facing the problem of a small assessment base (both residential and industrial-commercial) and little prospect for growth as a result of the Oak Ridges Moraine Conservation Plan and the newly protected Greenbelt.

The survey also found that Toronto and Oshawa, which represent extremes on the tax spectrum, are grappling with the underlying issues in their own unique ways.

In Toronto, where the financial burden is borne more heavily by the commercial-industrial sector, a 15-year plan that began in 2005 is gradually shifting more of the tax responsibility onto homeowners.

Meanwhile, Oshawa has embarked on an ambitious infrastructure investment plan, especially in its downtown core, hoping to capitalize on growth from new business and families seeking modestly priced homes.

One reason city-by-city comparisons are difficult is that the same amount of money buys “less house” in Toronto than in a place like Oshawa. On the other hand, a home with equivalent assessed value draws a far bigger tax bill in Oshawa than Toronto.

So the Star compared property taxes in two ways: First, by comparing what’s considered an “average” home within each of the region’s 25 municipalities; second, on a single property value ($380,000) applied across all the municipalities.

Torontonians pay taxes to a single entity: the city. In other places, residents pay both a city and a regional tax. For the sake of comparison, we blended those taxes proportionately. (The education tax, which is uniform and set by the province, appears on the municipal tax bill but isn’t included in this comparison.)

Oshawa regards an “average” home there to be valued at $275,000. At that assessed value, the homeowner will pay $4,157.56 in taxes in 2008, the Star found. That is:

$1,350 more per year than for an average Mississauga home ($365,000)

$939.90 more than for an average home in Vaughan ($412,070), and

$1,901.31 more than for an average Toronto home ($369,300).

We also compared taxes based on an across-the-board home value of $380,000, a figure chosen randomly by the Star.

On a home of that value in Oshawa, the owner’s municipal/regional taxes would be $5,744.86. That’s $2,822.01 more than on a similarly priced Mississauga home and $3,423.34 more than on a similarly priced Toronto home.

Chris Brown, Oshawa’s director of finance, acknowledges that residents in his city face significantly higher taxes than others, but says it’s caused by a confluence of events, including low property values and the fact that the city has made a long-term decision to invest heavily in infrastructure projects.

“We are in a major investment time frame right now,” says Brown. “There’s a cost to that, but we hope there’s a payoff down the road.”

The investments include a plan to revitalize the downtown core with the $45 million GM Centre, the $39 million Legend Centre, a provincial courthouse and a new fire hall.

Oshawa has even implemented special incentives to encourage companies to build residential and commercial buildings downtown – waiving lucrative development charges in hopes that benefits will come later.

“This type of investment attracts assessment,” says Brown. “If assessment increases, individual taxes could go down in the future.”

The situation is vastly different in other suburban municipalities, such as Milton, where booming development is helping to pay for new infrastructure. Its location along Highway 401 between Toronto and the U.S. border makes Milton attractive to business.

Milton’s population grew by 71.4 per cent in the previous five years, according to Statistics Canada figures released last year, making it the fastest-growing community in Canada, while Oshawa grew by a paltry 1.8 per cent, only slightly higher than built-out Toronto’s 0.9 per cent increase.

Companies like Magna, which established a stamping plant in Milton, and Whirlpool, which recently picked the area as its new distribution facility for the eastern seaboard, boost the community’s bottom line.

“We feel blessed,” says Milton Mayor Gordon Krantz. “We are well positioned geographically. We are three hours from the Windsor border.”

Ajax Mayor Steve Parish says one reason Durham Region’s suburban municipalities have higher taxes is that the region has not been as successful in attracting a healthy industrial-commercial tax base.

“In the case of places like Mississauga and Vaughan, one real driver that attracts industry is the proximity to the airport,” Parish adds. “It’s a big driver.”

Milton’s commercial business tax rate is just 2.32 per cent, the lowest in the GTA, while Vaughan’s is 2.39 per cent.

Oshawa’s commercial business tax rate stands at 3.58 per cent, much closer to Toronto’s 4.09 per cent.

– by Phinjo Gombu of the Toronto Star

Special agents

February 26th, 2008

Real Estate Agent competition

Competition is fierce in real estate so as part of his branding, Mississauga broker Parwesh K. (PK) Sabharwal wears a snappy hat with his business attire.

New Realtor Realities: Many in the GTA go above and beyond to earn loyalty because competition for clients has become so stiff

One agent packs up and stores a client’s massive shoe collection to minimize clutter. Another puts up a mother and her kids in her basement or provides amateur marriage counselling. And many more now deliver seemingly unusual services in an attempt to stand out in the fierce GTA real estate market.

“A real estate agent cannot afford to have an ego,” Mississauga broker Parwesh (PK for short) Sabharwal says. “In this cutthroat competitive market, one must meet all kinds of demands, even if they seem funny or weird.

“I even sat and packed up 100 pairs of shoes for one client and carried those big boxes all the way to her tiny basement,” recalls Sabharwal of one such extra service.

“Packing shoes isn’t part of my job description,” he says with a laugh. “But since the shoes were an eyesore – in the entrance of the house, and the lady wasn’t getting that – I offered to help out.”

Helping out is now often taken for granted, increasingly, by demanding clients, says this ReMax broker. Another factor is the number of agents in the game.

Phil Soper, president and CEO at Royal LePage, says the lure of real estate has caught on even with the younger set. The company now recruits many graduates from universities during their campus recruitment drives in Toronto.

And in such a market, there’s no dearth of unusual requests, agents say.

“A client who had daughters asked me to find out if the adjoining house to the one that they liked housed young boys. And if there were boys next door, then they wouldn’t buy that house,” Sabharwal says. “Awkwardly, I did comply by knocking on the next-door house, and casually inquiring about their family composition.”

Agents say the business is one that’s heavily based on referrals and clients will remember agents who go the extra mile even years after their house sells.

“Good service is being increasingly used by brokers as a way to distinguish them from the competition,” Soper says. His company coaches its agents on good practices.

Sabharwal says in the world of fancy packaging, branding is important. So he dons a matching hat with his business suit.

When he meets a client, he gives them a big docket of marketing material, which contains a huge photograph in that attire– smiling in a standing pose with his fancy P. initial engraved alongside each page describing the services he provides.

He gives clients a two-pack tutorial CD and testimonials from other clients he’s served. In addition he provides a colourful, two page-newsletter called Sabharwal’s Neighbourhood News.

To be an agent also means to be blessed with tons of patience, says Susan Taylor, a 20-year veteran, who jokingly admits she could easily fill in as a “marriage counsellor.”

In some cases marriages have broken up and couples have decided to sell a house. Taylor recalls one such incident where she spent more than two months coaxing, cajoling and counselling the husband to get him to sign papers, so that she could sell the house.

Taylor, a Royal LePage agent, says the dynamics of the real estate game have changed. Twenty years ago it was more of a nine-to-five job.

“The Internet and the advent of TV home improvement shows have raised awareness levels and it’s almost as if they (buyers) want houses to be perfect,” she says.

It all means that agents need to work extra hard to make sure the house is good to sell.

Taylor says if that means pouring in some extra bleach in (the clients’) dirty kitchen sink then that’s fine. She draws the line, however, when it comes to cleaning toilets. Instead, she has called cleaning services and paid for the services.

Taylor isn’t alone in that regard. Jillinda Greene, a longtime ReMax Hallmark agent in the Beach area says staging a house is very important. She has paid the bills for a florist or even rented paintings which cost her between $500 and $1,800, depending on the size of the house.

But Betty Durocher gives a whole new meaning to the term open house. In July 2002, this Royal LePage agent from Newmarket moved some of her clients – a mother and two children – into her own basement for two months. The trio shared Durocher’s kitchen and other facilities upstairs.

“The mother had bought a townhome but could not afford a place in the interim period, and not many rentals were available for such a short time and I just knew she couldn’t afford it,” says Durocher.

The agent’s retired husband at times also cooks dinner for clients, or babysits children while she takes the parents out.

Extra services don’t surprise Soper, who says consumers have a right to expect good services as they pay a considerable fee in commissions.

Agents say that commissions are under pressure and many in the market work for less than 5 per cent.

Not surprisingly, Internet sites that allow people to list their homes and eliminate the agent completely are growing steadily. Gabi Fish is vice-president of the Canadian online home-selling site, propertysold.ca. Fish says many home sellers don’t want to pay costly commissions. The website – barely two years old – garnered 1.81 million unique visits (12.5 million page loads) last year, higher than what it got when it started in 2006 (1.1 million unique visitors).

It sold 394 properties last year compared to 119 in 2006. Fish says listings in Toronto, the website’s largest market, have increased with the GTA area getting 340 listings this year, compared to 152 in 2006.

But agents say the Internet cannot replace the human element of being able to service clients in unique circumstances.

Linda Morgan, a Niagara Region real estate agent for Royal LePage, tells the story of a single mom with multiple sclerosis who was living on a disability pension that she helped — first to sell her house, and then buy a new one.

The house where this mom and her son were living was in danger of being lost for nonpayment of municipal taxes. Morgan called in the help of her husband and his friends who repaired it so that it could be put up for sale. After selling the house and finding a condo that fit her client’s needs, Morgan found out the lady wasn’t qualifying for a mortgage, so she worked with her own bank to see that through.

Morgan says she also paid her own money for the remodelling of the bathrooms because the owner couldn’t and then, with countless trips to the local MPP’s office, and the March of Dimes, the owner was able to get a grant finally approved that repaid this money back.

CROWDED FIELD

Despite the increased competition in the market, more and more people want to become licensed real estate agents.

» The Real Estate Council of Ontario, or RECO, the regulating body for agents in Ontario, says there has been a 20 per cent overall increase in the number of registrants in Ontario since 2005, with the agency processing more than 400 applications for new registrations each month. In 2003, there were about 300 new applications per month processed by the agency.

In 2005, Ontario had 40,665 registrants with 11,675 of those coming from Toronto (M postal codes) and 26,792, which included Toronto and Brampton, Durham, Mississauga, Oakville, Milton, Orangeville, and York. In 2007, Ontario had 49,429 registrants with 12,472 of those coming from Toronto (M postal codes) and 29,222, which included Toronto and Brampton, Durham, Mississauga, Oakville, Milton, Orangeville, and York.

As of Feb. 1, 50,000 agents were registered with RECO in Ontario.

» An increase can also been seen (in the past three years) in memberships with the Toronto Real Estate Board: 2005 – 22,953; 2006 – 24,894; 2007-26,861; 2008 – a further 185, taking the total number close to 27,046.

» ReMax says it has 8,540 agents in Ontario and Atlantic Canada. (nationally 17,600).

In 2007, of the 751 agents it added to its roster, 445 were in the Ontario-Atlantic region, which was the largest growth for ReMax globally last year. As well, in 2006, of the 1,200 new agents, 650 were from the Ontario-Atlantic area. This region has been growing by 400 to 600 agents on average per year, with growth ranging from 5 per cent to 10 per cent over 10 years.

Sources: Real Estate Council of Ontario, Toronto Real Estate Board, ReMax

– by Rakshande Italia of the Toronto Star

A farewell to farms

November 16th, 2007

From the Toronto Star:

Bert Andrews of Andrews' Scenic Acres in Milton believes Ontario agriculture is in big trouble

After 27 seasons, Andrews' Scenic Acre, on the outskirts of Milton, is going the way most farms in the area have gone -- out of business.

When even a relatively successful operator has had it, you know Ontario agriculture is in big trouble

There’s something new growing in Bert Andrews’ field, in front of the patch of long-wilted rhubarb and the wispy, overgrown asparagus.

“For Sale/Lease, By Owner” reads the giant white sign, “Growing Farm Business, Winery and Farm Property. ”

After 27 seasons, Andrews’ Scenic Acre, on the outskirts of Milton, is going the way most farms in the area have gone — out of business.

Not because it hasn’t been profitable — this past season has been Andrews’ best to date. But he had open-heart surgery last year, and none of his children wants to take over the operation.

“I’m 64 years old — I want my Sundays off,” Andrews says on a warm fall afternoon, looking out at his fields and the russet-coloured Niagara Escarpment in the distance. The heads of his towering Russian sunflowers have long turned black and now curl downward. The last of his pumpkins have been sold. And the haystack, which visiting schoolchildren jumped on until last week, will soon be dismantled — perhaps for the last time.

It’s the end of an era, not just for Andrews, but also for agriculture in the Toronto area.This is the best farmland in the country. But we’re quickly paving it over. The Greater Toronto Area — including Durham, Halton, Peel and York regions — lost 16 per cent of its farms between 1996 and 2001. Since then, another five per cent have disappeared.

There’s a sign nailed beside the door of Andrews’ barn that reads: “Farmers Feed Cities.” It should say: “Cities Eat Farms.”

Up to 80 per cent of the produce we buy travels thousands of kilometres by truck or plane. Even apples — which are quintessentially Ontarian and can keep in cold storage for months — travel 5,900 kilometres on average to get to us, according to a recent Region of Waterloo Health study.

Contrary to what one might think given how much of our food is imported, Canadians spend less of their disposable income on nourishment — about 10 per cent on food and non-alcoholic beverages, according to the OECD — than residents of most other developed countries. A related fact: domestic farmers make less than half of what Toronto garbage collectors earn. (The average farm earns less than $25,000 a year before expenses, according to the latest census report.)

The profession’s self-esteem is in the gutter. As Andrews regularly points out, Ontario agriculture minister was once a plum posting. Now, it’s an afterthought, rarely noted in reports about cabinet shuffles, because it’s no longer considered a powerful portfolio, even though it’s the only ministry that touches all of us many times daily.

Faced with a future of long hours, little respect and less pay, is it surprising that young farmers are leaving the land in droves?

Despite the growing local food movement, most farmers and food policy wonks agree: the future of Ontario farming is bleak. Most predict it will take a horrific event like 9/11 to wake us up to the dangers of relying entirely on foreign food.

“I have a three-month-old granddaughter, and I don’t want her to be hungry in her lifetime,” says Mike Shook, program manager with FarmStart, a Guelph-area non-profit aiming to get more farmers on the land. “If we keep in the direction we are, I fear she will be.”

Many urge the government to take action before it’s too late. The Greenbelt — which protects 720,000 hectares of land circling Toronto from development — is a start, they say. But protecting land is one thing; ensuring that food grows on it is another. Horse farms are the second fastest-growing agricultural category in the Toronto area, after cash crops like winter wheat, according to the last census.

“We need a master plan,” says Andrews.

He remains among the small minority of optimists. How else would he have survived almost three decades of farming near Milton, the fastest growing municipality in the country, as subdivisions and golf ranges replaced the fields he once ploughed?

The ultimate proof: he hopes to sell his property to a farmer.

“There are people who think I don’t have a hope in hell,” he chuckles. “But I’ve been hearing that all my life.”

To an outsider, Andrews’ Scenic Acres seems one of the most successful farms around. The 39-hectare property bursts with blackberries, pumpkins, strawberries … as well as 17,000 bottles of fruit wine a year. Andrews runs a bustling market out of one of his barns and sends his produce out to eight farmers’ markets every week.

More than 15,000 school children tour his farm each summer. And far more than that come out, mostly on weekends, to pet his goats and ride a tractor out to the fields to pick their own food. One Sunday this fall, a record 3,300 people swarmed the farm to pick pumpkins. For many city slickers, such “entertainment farms” have become their only connection to rural life.

No matter how successful and cherished Andrews’ Scenic Acres may be, is it realistic to think a farmer will buy it when speculators are scooping up property all around Andrews? Nearby farmland inside the Greenbelt is going for $20,000 an acre — a price most farmers could never afford. Farms like his that fall outside the Greenbelt border are running at $50,000 an acre. Which means only a Rosedale stockbroker would have the necessary cash.

That’s exactly who Andrews is banking on — “It would have to be somebody who had passion.”

Wayne Roberts, project co-ordinator for the Toronto Food Policy Council, has a different buyer in mind: the Ontario government. “That’s obvious to anyone concerned with the future of food security in Ontario,” he says. Not only would the province save the most productive land from being stripped of its topsoil and converted to homes and malls, but it could also boost aspiring farmers into the business by renting out small acreages to them at affordable prices — he calls them “farm condominiums.”

“Once land is changed from agriculture into something else,” he says, “it’s almost impossible to reclaim. If this farm goes, it’s not late — it’s too late.”

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