MLB Division Series Preview
Friday, October 5th, 2007
Matt Holliday crashes in to score the winning run, clinching the a wild card berth for the Rockies and eliminating San Diego
After watching my beloved Padres get eliminated from postseason contention in the 163rd game of the year in heartbreaking fashion vs. a division rival, it’s time to look ahead and make my Division Series predictions…
Let’s start in the American League, where in my mind, all signs are pointing to a Yankees/Red Sox ALCS, which is always bittersweet. Do I really want to watch those clubs advance - two evil empires and perennial division rivals of the local team, the Toronto Blue Jays? Of course not. I hate both clubs with a passion and I’m just praying for a year in which both clubs’ big free agent signings totally backfire and each team misses the playoffs… Like that’s going to happen. BUT, if they have to play, it’s always good television. The two highest-spending clubs, steeped in tradition matching up is always chalk full of drama… Anyway, I just think it’s a New York/Boston kind of year - I don’t like the Angels and the Indians are good but young.
Boston Red Sox vs. the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
I think Boston sweeps this one. The Angels are a little banged up, and even when healthy during the season, this club didn’t impress me. I know they ran away with their division, but when I got the chance to see them play the Jays earlier in the season, they were less than impressive. It seems like it’s Boston’s year — I have to take them until someone proves they can beat them.
Red Sox 3-0
Cleveland Indians vs. New York Yankees
The Tribe are a great young club, but they’re just that: young. Other than the ageless wonder, Kenny Lofton, they have exactly zero playoff experience. Does that matter? Maybe not that much — but against a veteran Yankee club looking to make amends for two straight first round exits, I think it will. If the Yankees lose, it will be because their pitching let them down yet again, which was the case two years ago vs. the Angels and last year against the Tigers. Cleveland has the better pitching staff, but I think the Yankee lineup will wear them out. They’ll split in Cleveland and the Yanks will win both back in the Bronx.
Yankees 3-1
Okay, now the National League. Yes, it still hurts seeing the Rockies travel to Philly, but I think my Padres were a flawed team. They rely too much on their pitching staff, which just hasn’t come through in the clutch the last two playoffs. Factor that with an anemic offence, and I think the Phillies make quick work of them in 3 or 4 games. Padres: go and re-tool - bring in a couple of bats and continue to tweak the pitching staff and come back next year. Until then, go away - you don’t have the tools to win in October. The Rockies are a well-balanced team (and they’re also red hot, winning 14 of 15 down the stretch) who should give the Phils all they can handle. The Cubs/DBacks series should be good too, although I won’t be watching the first two games in Phoenix with those late start times…
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs
Well, the Cubbies are back to the postseason, so here we go again: How will they screw it up in dramatic fashion yet again? Well, lucky for Cubs’ fans with heart problems, I think they’ll be gone quickly before having the chance to perform another monumental collapse in the NLCS on the verge of the World Series…. The DBacks are young and scrappy, have a great pitching staff, home advantage and are playing with a nothing-to-lose attitude. The Cubs have some loose cannons on their team, including their manager. That will cost them at some point. Oh, and they’re not really that good, either.
DBacks 3-2
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies
The Rockies are red hot, amazingly winning 14 of 15 down the stretch, including a dramatic 13-inning come-from-behind victory in a one-game playoff vs. the Padres to qualify for the dance. The Phillies played well down the stretch also, winning the division on the last day, a game earlier than the Rockies. Will the Rockies continue their run, or are they running on empty now after making the playoffs? Normally, we fall in love with the hot team down the stretch when in fact, in the last few seasons, teams that struggled in September were able to right the ship and knock out the up-and-comers (see last year’s World Series Champion Cardinals, and the White Sox before them). So take the Phillies right? Well, no. The Phillies still had no right being in the playoffs — I think it had more to do with the Mets’ unfathomable collapse than their play. The Rockies earned it. They have a young, balanced team with some solid pitching and Holliday and Helton tearing the cover off the ball. The Phillies’ big slugger, Ryan Howard on the other hand, has a high strikeout total. He’s the kind of player that puts up big regular season numbers but falls flat on his face in the playoffs when the pitching is tougher and the pressure is on…
Rockies 3-1
Now Milton, what do you think?
