NFL Week 3 according to the Milton Pigskin Prognosticator

Can
Can “Old Man Favre” lead the Packers to a third straight win vs. the underachieving Chargers?

Indianapolis (-6) at Houston
Houston beat Indy at home in week 15 - when wins were still critical to Indy’s playoff standing. Since then Houston has picked up Ahman Green – who should feast on the Colts’ worst ranked rush defence (2006 rankings) and the Texans are on a 4-game winning streak counting their last 2 games of 2006 season. So, like butter, they’re on a roll… Take them to beat the spread baby!
Texans

San Diego (-4.5) at Green Bay
Old Man Favre is “in the groove” having racked up 6 straight regular season wins for the Packers. Meanwhile the Chargers have yet to have a break-out offensive performance this year, scoring only 14 points in each of the first two games this season. Tomlinson has a chance to have a big game against Green Bay, but this game is likely to come down to a field goal in the end, with Favre being the master of game winning drives, especially at home.
Packers

Minnesota at Kansas City (-2.5)
How can a team that has been outscored 40-13 in their first two games be favoured to win this game – I really do not know! Plus Larry Johnson will be trying to rush against the 2006 top ranked rush defense AND the Vikings D is looking on top of their game with 4 sacks, 3 interceptions and 3 forced fumbles in their game last week against Detroit. Take Minnesota to the bank on this one – bet the house if your wife will let you (I know she’s in charge – stop denying it!).
Vikings

Detroit at Philadelphia (-6)
Philadelphia has lost both of their games, while Detroit has surprised everyone with their 2-0 start – especially last week against Minnesota, as the Vikings owned Detroit in their two meetings last season. If Philly is going to throw their hat into the playoff-contender ring, they have to get some wins under their belt. This week is their best chance so far - but if they win, it won’t be by much.
Lions

Buffalo at New England (-16)
New England won by 15 or more points an impressive 6 times last season, including one of their two wins over the Bills. Plus the Patriots have won both their games this season by 24 points per game, versus two teams that are MUCH better than Buffalo (the Jets and Chargers). New England shouldn’t have to cheat by stealing signals to enjoy a cake-walk this coming Sunday – pass the ice cream!!!
Patriots

Miami at N.Y. Jets (-3)
The Jets beat Miami both times last year, but both games were only won by 3 points. The series should be more in Miami’s favour for at least game 1 this year, with QB Pennington questionable to start (missed last week due to injury), the Jets defense making zero big plays last week versus Raven’s back-up QB (no sacks or interceptions) and Trent Green due to have his break-out game for Miami versus the sub-par Jet D. Watch for QB Clemens to struggle in his second NFL start against the tough Miami D.
Dolphins

San Francisco at Pittsburgh (-8.5)
The Steelers have one of the softest schedules to start the season, with their first 4 games against teams with losing records last season. As a result they’ve started strong, outscoring their opponents in the first two weeks by a total of 60 to 10. San Fran has also won their first two games, but against two defensively-challenged opponents. This week they run up against a much better Steeler D that is always ready to show-up at home.
Steelers

Arizona at Baltimore (-7.5)
Watch for Arizona to make a shot at the playoffs this year – they’ve got a great nucleus and their first two games of the season have produced decent results (hung close vs. San Fran and then beat Seattle). Arizona could outright win this game and if not, they’ll at least keep it very close – especially with RB Edgerrin James pounding the ball for them and with Baltimore likely to start their back-up QB for the second straight week.
Cardinals

St. Louis at Tampa Bay (-4)
The Rams have started off this season in neutral, allowing 27 and 17 points to two of the lower ranking offenses in week 1 and 2, and not scoring much with QB Bulger and RB Steven Jackson both looking mediocre at best. Meanwhile the Bucs will be riding the high of last week’s drubbing of their division rival Saints – where their O and D were both in playoff form.
Bucs

Jacksonville at Denver (-3)
Sure Denver is 2-0, but they’ve played two HORRIBLE teams and they won by 1 point vs. Buffalo and by 3 points against the Raiders. Jacksonville will give the Broncos their first real challenge of the season – as long as the Jags’ 4th ranked rush defense can do their job against the 8th ranked Bronco running game, Jacksonville is poised to win outright.
Jags

Cincinnati at Seattle (-3.5)
Two playoff contenders, both coming off week 2 losses – this makes for a good game. Bengals QB Palmer threw an incredible six TD’s last week, while the Seahawks will counter with Hasselback and RB Shaun Alexander. The Bengals will make a game out of this one.
Bengals

Cleveland at Oakland (-3)
Can there really be a “favourite” when two teams that combined for a total of 6 wins last year square-off? I’ll take the team that racked up 51 points last week, I’ll take the RB that ran for 215 yards last week (Jamal Lewis) as he faces the 25th-ranked run defense and I’ll take a nap if I watch more than 2 minutes if this game in one sitting.
Browns

Carolina (-4) at Atlanta
You’ve got to feel bad for those Falcons fans – losing their franchise player Vick due to his illegal & disgusting dog fighting involvement, and then throwing the team up against three Top-10 defences for their first three games of the season. As a result Atlanta just has 10 points scored entering into week 3, with little hope for a better result this week. The Falcons have given up 13 sacks in the first two weeks, so you know QB Harrington has to be fairly shell-shocked at this point – and he’ll be facing a all-star studded D-line this week with Julius Peppers, Kris Jenkins and Mike Rucker… That’s going to leave a mark – ouch!
Panthers

N.Y. Giants at Washington (-4)
The Redskin D is looking solid this year, while Giants’ D has given up 45 and 35 points in their first two games. Watch for Washington to ride their 2-0 start with a run and gun romp over the Giants as the ’skins return home for week 3.
Redskins

Dallas at Chicago (-3)
Rex Grossman can throw up some wonderful interceptions, so watch for Dallas to have multiple INT’s, like the 4 they had versus Miami last week. The big match-up in this game is the Chicago D (which have allowed an average of 12 points per game this year) versus the red-hot Dallas offense – which have scored an average of 41 points per game this year, including 37 points against a strong Miami D last week. Dallas will win this game.
Cowboys

Tennessee at New Orleans (-5)
The Titans have had a strong start this season, beating the favoured Jaguars in week 1, and then losing to the heavily favoured Colts by only 2 points last week. The Saints will be glad to be home after two losses on the road, where they were outscored by a total of 72-24, but even some Cajun-style home cooking and some favourable match-ups will not guarantee any success for the Saints based on how they’ve performed in the first two weeks…
Titans

Survivor
(Pick one team to win outright each week, the goal to put together the longest streak of consecutive winning picks, while not able to pick any given team more than once during the season.)
Two weeks in and I’m still surviving, winning with Denver over Buffalo in week 1, and Pittsburgh over Buffalo in week 2. I’ll stop picking on Buffalo this week (even though New England should crush them) and instead pick on another early season team that looks like dirt: the Atlanta Falcons. I’ll pick Carolina to beat the lowly Falcons. Don’t forget that you can’t pick the same team more than once in the season!!!

Now Milton, what do you think?

5 Responses to “NFL Week 3 according to the Milton Pigskin Prognosticator”

  1. BrotherShayne Says:

    Colts
    Chargers
    Chiefs
    Lions
    Patriots
    Jets
    Steelers
    Ravens
    Rams
    Broncos
    Seahawks
    Raiders
    Panthers
    Redskins
    Bears
    Titans
    Survivor: Steelers

  2. admin Says:

    A man of few words. Get in. Make picks. Get out.

    Dare I say this week seems a little ‘easier’ than last week - maybe it’s because we’ve got two performances to go on now…

    I’m looking forward to the Fav-ruh/Chahgahs matchup. The Bolts have been very disappointing thus far….

    Dallas v da Bears should be a good matchup as well - too bad I absolutely despise each of those teams.

    I too, have a feeling Tennessee will win outright v the Saints… like San Diego, the Saints have been disappointing - you see this all the time in the NFL - teams rise up from the ashes and look impressive one year, and then teams start catching onto them and their young players struggle the next year….

    Hopefully my Seahawks can get back into the win column v the Bungles. It will be tough, but the Seahawks are tough at home. They need it after losing to Arizona last week - I’m still sick at the thought of that….

    I’ll be watching the Browns/Raydahs tilt - what about you?

    (picks coming shortly)

  3. Capper Says:

    Ok boys,

    Here’s the week 3 picks:

    Arizona
    Buffalo
    Detroit
    Indy
    Jets
    Minnesota
    San Diego
    Pittsburgh
    Tampa Bay
    Seattle
    Cleveland
    Denver
    Carolina
    Washington
    Dallas
    Tennessee

    Survivor:
    New England (previously used Seattle and Indy)

    I believe I was 8-8 in week 1, 6-10 in week 2 so as usual I should pull a Costanza and just go with the opposite of my gut feel, but I’ll stick with those above.

  4. BrotherShayne Says:

    Picks based on:

    Teams with large home-field advantages: Seahawks, Chiefs, Broncos
    representing the much stronger AFC, vs. NFC: Chargers
    dominating defences: Bears, Ravens, Steelers
    moving the ball (offensively) at will: Patriots, Colts
    due to win one once-in-a-while: Rams, Jets, Raiders
    Pick’em?: Titans, Lions, Redskins
    playing against the Falcons: Panthers

  5. Milton Sports Guy Says:

    Ok, I just had to wait until almost game time to get as much insider information as humanly possible from which to make my Week 3 picks…. ok, maybe not.

    Before I head out to the Milton Fall Fair, here are this week’s correct picks:

    Indy (-6) over Houston
    - I know this Texans club is better than in years past, but Indy can score at will and I have to think they’ll cover 6 points even on the road.

    Green Bay (+4.5) over San Diego
    - I probably shouldn’t do this, because the Bolts are due to explode, and Favre is due to implode, but I think there’s more to the Chargers’ troubles than we think - the Norv Turner decision was terrible… he may be gone before November…

    Minnesota (+2.5) over Kansas City
    - This game is at Arrowhead, but the Chiefs still stink.

    Detroit (+6) over Philly
    - Philly needs this win, and I think they probably get it - but not by 6.

    New England (-16) over Buffalo
    - It’s going to get tough for the Pats to cover these spreads as they get larger and larger each week. I’d say no, but NE is at home and Buffalo is reeling and JP Losman looks brutal.

    N.Y. Jets (-3) over Miami
    - This has ‘push’ written all over it - I see this one coming down to a field goal.

    Pittsburgh (-8.5) over San Fran
    - I really like the Steelers this year with a head-screwed-on-straight-Roethlisberger this year. At home, I gotta think they can cover this against a deceiving 2-0 Niners squad.

    Arizona (+7.5) over Baltimore
    - Gimme the points, although I’m not totally confident going with the Cards on the road…. I think they can keep it close though.

    St. Louis (+4) over Tampa Bay
    - It happens all the time - a lesser team like Tampa comes up with a huge performance vs. a contender. Then, next week, everyone hops all over the bandwagon. No ankle tape for me - I won’t fall for the Bucs. I think they’ll play today like we thought they would play before the season started…

    Denver (-3) over Jacksonville
    - I know Denver squeaked by in each of their 2 wins vs. lower echelon teams, but I think it’s more of a case of ‘knowing how to pull out a close win’, then ‘they’re not that good.’ We’ll find out this week…

    Seattle (-3.5) over Cincinnati
    - Seattle is a different team at home, and I think the Bengals’ defence is worse. This one should be fun!

    Cleveland (+3) over Oakland
    - See my comment about Tampa above. Same thing here with the Browns, although I’m going to go with them to cover. I have no faith in the Raydahs.

    Carolina (-4) at Atlanta
    - The Falcons are reeling. I think the Panthers are a better team than we saw last week… At least I’m hoping they are.

    Washington (-4) over N.Y. Giants
    - I like the Redskins as a sleeper in the NFC this year. I don’t like the Giants as anything but a last-place team in the NFC this year. Eli doesn’t = Peyton - remember that.

    Dallas (+3) over Chicago
    - I just don’t have a good feeling about Grossman and the Bears right now. As much as I hate Dallas, I think they’ll be up there with Seattle fighting for top spot in the NFC.

    Tennessee (+5) over New Orleans
    - I’m lumping New Orleans in the Chargers’ category for now… I think they are going to struggle to get things going like last year. The Titans are a good, young, well-coached team playing exciting ball with nothing to lose.

    Survivor:
    Ok, I’ll waste my New England pick this week…. They’ll get to 7, 9, or 12-0 or something and then I’ll be nervous to pick them, because when teams get to that point, they always get upset by some weird middle-of-the-road team. I’ll take them now at home vs. a terrible Bills team. No way in hell they lose this one.

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